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Cities are readying for the Swift era

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Illustration by Kate Walker

Cities are readying for the Swift era

 

The Future. A Taylor Swift tour guarantees a massive economic windfall for the cities she’s playing in, meaning that local businesses must prep for the highest demand they’ll likely see all year. When it comes to superstars like Swift, don’t be surprised if cities start vying to become concert hosts like countries do for the Olympics.

Swift City
Everyone’s excited that Taylor is coming to town.

  • Glendale, Arizona (which just hosted the Super Bowl), renamed itself to Swift City last Friday and Saturday to kick off Taylor’s Eras tour.
  • An additional 150,000 people are estimated to have headed into the city (which has a population of 250,000) to see the shows.

That’s no surprise when Swift’s tour broke Ticketmaster’s single-day sale record, with over two million tickets scooped up in 24 hours.

The Swift Special
Glendale… er… Swift City Mayor Jerry Weiers said, “One of my jobs is to promote my city by being a cheerleader. […] And it shows that we’re serious about our sports and entertainment district, while having fun at the same time.”

The massive influx of people has restaurants and hotels gearing up for demand — creating satellite sites to accommodate more people, hiring extra staff, and stocking up on ingredients. To get a sense of the demand, the Holiday Inn Glendale completely sold out of rooms on the day the tour was announced.

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Artists turn to AR to get music out

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Courtesy of Snap

Artists turn to AR to get music out

 

The Future. AR filters on Snapchat, TikTok, and Instagram are becoming the latest way to launch a new song into culture… so musicians and labels are making them a part of their larger social media marketing rollout. With 250 million Snapchat users engaging with AR every day and TikToks with AR lenses racking up 600 billion views, every song will soon need to be a feast for both the ears and the eyes.

See the sound
Musicians are banking that warping people’s reality can get a beat stuck in their heads.

  • Insider reports that artists and labels are creating AR lenses as part of the marketing rollout for new songs.
  • That’s because the track can become a “default option” for effect — when the filter is used or shared, so is the song.
  • The effects are also easy to use, access, and understand than a dance or a meme.

But here’s the big question: are these AR lenses making a difference?

  • A generative AI filter called “AI Manga” appeared in 132 million videos on TikTok, with the associate song, “たぶん” by Yoasobi, being used in 12 million videos.
  • Canadian country singer Drew Gregory created a “What Farm Truck Are You” image generator for his song “Stuck.” It has been used in 42,000 TikToks, with his song in 16,000 of them.

Immersion on immersion
Musicians and labels hope to scale those AR lenses to full-on live-music experiences.

  • Meta linked up with Coachella last year to build unique AR experiences for Instagram.

And both companies are either pushing users to add songs to their custom AR lenses or working directly with artists to create AR lenses around their songs. Soon, they will be almost inseparable.

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The Grammys came full circle this year

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The Grammys came full circle this year

 

The Future. Iconoclastic artists who were shut out of music’s biggest night in the past took the stage at Sunday’s award show, proving time doesn’t just heal all wounds; it also allows change to occur at a foundational level. If the Grammys wants to stay relevant and properly honor the music of the moment, it might embrace newness and nonconformity rather than turn a deaf ear to it.

That was then

The artists who rebelled against their elders in the past became the elders of the present at the 2023 Grammys, according to the NYT.

  • Several hip-hop artists (including Salt-N-Pepa and DJ Jazzy Jeff), who boycotted the 1989 show because their category wasn’t being televised despite launching that year, appeared at this year’s event.
  • Madonna, who became a superstar in the 1980s, has never won any of the major categories. Still, she remains an enthusiastic participant in the show.
  • Jay-Z, who boycotted the Grammys in 1999 but has attended in the years since (mainly to support his wife Beyoncé), closed out this year’s ceremony with a DJ Khaled-orchestrated number.

This is now

Iconoclasts became the establishment this year, per the NYT.

  • Bad Bunny, the Puerto Rican rapper-singer whose album Un Verano Sin Ti was 2022’s most streamed LP, opened the Grammys. Un Verano Sin Ti was also the first Spanish-language album nominated for album of the year.
  • Sam Smith and Kim Petras became the first nonbinary and transgender artists, respectively, to top the charts when their track “Unholy” hit No. 1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in October 2022. Their collaboration also won the best pop duo/group performance this year.

Beyoncé is in a class of her own

While Queen B didn’t perform at this year’s event and hadn’t for some time (a choice that feels deliberate, according to the NYT), she became the most awarded artist in Grammys history this year — and still held on to her rebel cred.

As the Grammys become more open-minded, there might be less of a need to rebel, though. Will what was once considered “mainstream” eventually become “iconoclastic” (and vice versa)? The circle never ends…

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Shallow catalog makes noise in the music industry

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Shallow catalog makes noise in the music industry

 

The Future. As thousands of songs are uploaded to Spotify daily, music is aging faster than ever. However, people are listening to “shallow catalog” — modern pop classics from the last 10 years — more often than new music. This trend might inspire younger artists to sell off their music rights earlier in their careers and ride the nostalgia wave to the bank.

Oldie but goodie
What defines “new” music these days? According to the industry’s primary data provider Luminate, songs younger than 18 months are current, and everything else is catalog.

While current music’s share of total consumption has declined, catalog’s share of total consumption has skyrocketed, reports Bloomberg.

  • Catalog’s share of consumption reached 74% in 2021 compared to 66% in 2020 — and lower in the years before that.
  • Music companies are marketing older albums from artists to support their new releases. Warner Music Group just launched 10-year anniversary campaigns for records from Bruno Mars and Ed Sheeran.
  • Streaming has made older songs more accessible to listeners. As music becomes more valuable in the streaming era, more artists are cementing their legacies by selling their catalogs to the tune of millions.

Is current music dead?
Hit songs — like The Weeknd’s “Die For You” from 2016 — are staying on the charts longer, which might force the music industry to adjust its definition of catalog.

Whether a song is current or catalog, it doesn’t matter so long as it’s catchy.

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Christmas music lifts the shopping spirit

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Christmas music lifts the shopping spirit

 

The Future. The holiday season is a key time for retailers, and little else gets people in the shopping mood like a Christmas playlist that appeals to customers of any age. It’s also big business for the companies that make those playlists and the artists who populate them (there’s a reason Mariah Carey is on the charts every December), which shows that the service of creating the right vibe is a craft unto itself.

Christmas curation
Putting together a Christmas playlist that speaks to shoppers is a holiday art.

  • Radhika Giri, SVP of emerging business at SiriusXM, told Bloomberg that the request for holiday playlists had increased exponentially during her 12 years at the company… and so has the desire to get those playlists in the rotation sooner.
  • Playlist-making for stores is a good business for SiriusXM, which has teams dedicated to their creation, which includes “business experts and musicologists.”
  • The company even acquired Cloud Cover Media earlier this year, which specialized in curating music for national brands like Party City and McDonald’s.

The big reason why this work is outsourced to companies like SiriusXM is that no retailer wants to put time and energy into navigating music-licensing agreements.

Everything I Want for Christmas
The goal of these playlists for retailers is to “strike a perfect mood for customers” — a strategy that can actually increase sales. The trick is putting together a tracklist that works across generations.

  • Elizabeth Margulis, a music professor at Princeton University and director of the Music Cognition Lab, says retailers need to lean into the “reminiscence bump.”
  • What’s that? “The phenomenon that the music people listen to in their teenage years is the music that they remember the best, and often like the most.”
  • That’s why music from decades past gets played so often. And since the reminiscence bump can get passed down, so does the love of certain songs.
  • Margulis says you can’t go wrong with music from the ‘70s and ‘80s in order to hit multiple generations.

Dave Wasby, VP of music for business at SiriusXM, says that reality drives playlist curation at the company, which is why Bing Crosby is still in rotation. “Whatever decade we were teenagers in, that’s our preference. And that’s true even if you’re 80 years old.”

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TikTok is shrinking songs

Illustration by Kate Walker

TikTok is shrinking songs

 


The Future.
In the 1960s, songs were short because of the pace of AM radio, but today, they’re short because of the rate of TikTok attention spans. The prevailing trend is “the shorter the song, the more it has a chance of going viral.” Why? Because TikTok is all about the hit clip, moment, or fragment… which may lead artists to create songs built around as many of those moments as possible to have the best chance of becoming a viral sensation… especially when TikTok launches its own dedicated music-streaming service.

Seconds single
Artists are shortening their songs for a shot at TikTok fame.

  • Per Billboard, the average length of the top 50 songs on the Hot 100 chart in 2021 was a pretty short 3:07.
  • And they’re only getting shorter, with artists routinely dropping a third chorus and pre-chorus from the structure of songs, according to an analysis from Hit Songs Deconstructed.
  • That has led to songs being under three minutes… and they’re charting. Songs of that length represented 38% of the top 10 hits (up from 4% in 2016).

And with platforms like Spotify counting a mere 30 seconds of listening as a full play that triggers a royalty check (and probably shorter on TikTok), artists are incentivized to make their songs short and snappy.

Viral snippet
The data makes sense, but do artists feel a creative or cultural imperative to make songs shorter? Or is it all just economics?

  • Mitch Allan, a songwriter and producer for artists like Demi Lovato and Kelly Clarkson, thinks that artists believe shorter songs have a charm that makes them more repeatable.
  • Talya Elitzer, a co-founder of indie label Godmode, notes that, in the Internet age, skip rates are a real concern. The shorter the song, the less it gets skipped.
  • Elie Rizk, a writer, producer, and instrumentalist for acts like Remi Wolf and Mazie, said that viral songs are really based on a little moment that gets put in videos and shared.

And producer/DJ Kuya Magik, who knows a thing or two about TikTok thanks to his 11 million followers, says that the virality of the song clip is hilariously prevalent. “If you go to a club and you watch people dance, they only dance to the 15 seconds of a song that’s famous on TikTok. For the rest of it, they just sit there.”

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Bad Bunny breaks world tour record

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Illustration by Kate Walker

Bad Bunny breaks world tour record

 

The Future. Thanks to a back-to-back arena and stadium tour, Bad Bunny (aka Benito Antonio Martínez Ocasio) broke the all-time touring revenue record in a single calendar year — $435.38 million, beating Ed Sheeran’s 2019 Divide tour by a couple million. Considering the global success, it may be safe to say that Latin music is the most important genre in music at the moment.

Hop to the top
Bad Bunny has had a bangin’ year.

  • According to Pollstar, his El Último Tour del Mundo arena tour, which ran from February to April, grossed $113 million — more than the highest projections.
  • Seeing sky-high demand, Bad Bunny and his team then put together the stadium-centric World’s Hottest Tour from August to this month, which seems to have grossed a total of $322.38 (it was $270.3 million as of November 16).

Having also scored the top spot for most-streamed artist on Spotify and nabbing the “Artist of the Year” honor from Apple Music, it’s no wonder the Puerto Rican rapper is taking a break from breaking records.

Keep on playing
Bad Bunny’s numbers have contributed to an overall terrific year for live music (all that pent-up COVID demand), which is up 13.2% from the highs of 2019 for a record gross total of $6.28 billion.

And according to Live Nation, 16 tours grossed over $100 million, including Elton John, Def Leppard/Mötley Crüe, Harry Styles, and Kenny Chesney. A little something for everyone.

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Demand for Taylor Swift tickets rattles Ticketmaster

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Courtesy of Taylor Swift

Demand for Taylor Swift tickets rattles Ticketmaster

 

The Future. Ticketmaster’s sale of Taylor Swift’s “The Eras Tour” may go down as one of the most chaotic offerings in music history, with demand far exceeding any tour in the company’s history. The dust is still settling on how Ticketmaster will handle the remaining tickets (if there are any), but one thing may be certain — Taylor Swift is the biggest act in the world right now, bar none.

Too big to succeed
Ticketmaster learned this week that there is such a thing as too much of a good thing, according to Insider.

  • Ticketmaster leveraged its “Verified Fan” program to sell Taylor Swift tickets — a record 3.5 million people signed up.
  • So when the sale started, 1.5 million people were immediately let in while the other 2 million were put on a waiting list.
  • The trouble is that 14 million people (and bots) showed up to buy tickets, forcing millions of fans to wait hours to get a shot at getting a ticket.
  • Ticketmaster’s site couldn’t handle that kind of traffic. Live Nation chairman Greg Maffei said the tour resulted in “3.5 billion total system requests — 4x our previous peak.”

To fulfill all the demand, Maffei said Swift would need to perform over 900 stadium shows (almost 20x the number of shows she is doing)… that’s a stadium show every single night for the next 2.5 years.”

Ultimately, two million tickets were sold that day.

Stadium-sized stakes
Some lawmakers and government officials want to pull the plug on Ticketmaster’s dominance in the live-music industry.

  • Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY), Senator Amy Klobuchar (D-MN), Senator David Cicilline (D-RI), and others have either criticized Live Nation’s dominance or called for its breakup over antitrust concerns.
  • Tennessee Attorney General Jonathan Skrmetti announced that he’s perform over 900 stadium shows in relation to Live Nation’s market share.

And with the actual public sale of Swift tickets that were supposed to take place today being scrapped because of “extraordinarily high demands on ticketing systems” and “insufficient remaining ticket inventory,” don’t expect the volume on this to go down anytime soon.

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Libraries curate local music streaming services

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Illustration by Kate Walker

Libraries curate local music streaming services

 

The Future. Over a dozen public libraries across the US and Canada are offering their own curated music-streaming services that members can access. With many major cities creating unique platforms, artists are gladly signing up for a little more exposure. In an industry awash with too many musicians, libraries may be pivotal in creating local stars.

The Dewey Decibel System
Forget Spotify playlists. Curated library streamers may be the new jam.

  • According to Vice, public libraries are creating curated streaming services using an open-source software called MUSICat, which was developed by a startup called Rabble.
  • MUSICat allows the libraries to be “region-specific” so that it’s available exclusively for patrons and non-exclusive, so that they can still be shared on other streamers.

The services aim to highlight local artists and genres to the community while putting a little money in their pockets — typically just a few hundred dollars — as a symbolic gesture that artists should be supported.

Soundscape
Libraries in cities like Nashville, Pittsburgh, and Forth Worth have all created their own services — each with unique eligibility rules.

  • The New Orleans Public Library’s Crescent City Sounds streamer — which was cursed by “local artists and business owners, music journalists and historians and more” — only accepted artists that regularly gigged in the area.
  • The Edmonton Public Library in Alberta, Canada, has already signed up 200 local artists. It has even given some the opportunity to press their music on vinyl or play at library events in the city.

It looks like more and more libraries are okay with getting loud.

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And the brand plays on

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And the brand plays on

 

The Future. For musicians at every level, merch now plays a key role in how they make a living. Unless they’re mainstream pop stars, artists earn more on their merchandise than they do from a record. This truth rang loudest during the pandemic when income streams from live shows disappeared. Unlike other parts of the music business, merch might just be “future-proofed.”

$3.5 billion in global retail sales

It pays to have a fashion-forward audience, according to The Guardian.

  • Artists can leverage their following into profitable merch sales on their websites, where they don’t have to pay hefty commission fees to venues that might demand as much as 25% of their sales.
  • While a band T-shirt might be perceived as a one-time sale, it delivers value long after the tour has ended.
  • Luxury brands like Balenciaga, Louis Vuitton, and Acne have featured big-ticket versions of band tees on their catwalks.
  • Retail chains like Primark and Urban Outfitters sell vintage T-shirts to Zoomers who might like the band’s logo more than their music.

Fans want it
Artists have product validation before they invest time and money into designing merch. A tour announcement warms up its audience, creates desire, and teases its product. Merch from certain artists can often sell at higher prices on resale sites than they retail for — like the sweatshirt from Kids See Ghosts, which was marked up 533%.

Audience vs. community
The most successful artists are multi-hyphenates who produce merch not just for the people who see their shows — but also for those who have a conversation with them and fellow fans. For her album Renaissance, Beyoncé made a special edition box with a CD and T-shirt featuring Queen B in one of multiple poses available to pre-order.

“Part of the fun of getting the box was the mystery behind what it would be and what pose I would get,” says Ineye Komonibo, a culture critic at Refinery29. “My friends and I organized so that none of us would get the same pose and even had theories about what each pose or box would be.”

As an evergreen product or a timed release, merch offers the best of both worlds. Vintage or contemporary, it’s always profitable too.

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